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Time for the Russian Army to take stock

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Time for the Russian Army to take stock

In my last post I asked whether Ukraine could win this war, to which I answered it could, although it was not yet clear whether it would. In this post, I want to expand on one of the reasons I came to this conclusion. I suggested that the Ukrainian forces would not follow the same tactics as the Russian, and would instead seek to exploit the accuracy of the long-range artillery delivered by Western countries. They would concentrate ‘on supply lines, bases, and command centers, making opportunistic advances, using guerrilla tactics in the city against the occupying forces, leaving Russian troops uncertain about where the next attack is coming from.’ All these things have been happening over the past week. I went on to suggest that this could start to pose awkward choices for the Russian high command. It would need to consider its long-term position and how to maintain their forces to deal with future threats, other than Ukraine. Russia would not be able to ‘afford an inch-by-inch retreat to the border, taking losses all the way.’ This is the point I wish to explore further. Late last week the Russian Ministry of Defence announced that after their recent exertions in Luhansk, its forces needed a pause to ‘replenish their combat capabilities’ before moving on to the next stage in the war. Putin took the opportunity to exude optimism and to insist that there are no grounds for concern. Read also:  How large cities in Donetsk region are preparing for an attack by two hostile forces — the Russians and the cold
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31 of August 2025

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