💰 Bets we like for all 32 teams

06.11.2025, 18:17 espn.com

The NFL season offers a seemingly unlimited amount of betting opportunities. Halfway through the season, do we feel like we know more about where things are headed? Are there still long shots worth a sprinkle?

Here are bets for each team as we head into the second half. Some picks look at the big picture, such as Super Bowl futures, playoffs or win totals. Others zoom in on specific players, highlighting MVP and other award chances.

Matt Bowen, Eric Karabell, Liz Loza, Pamela Maldonado, Eric Moody, Ben Solak and Seth Walder offer their picks.

All odds current as of publication time and courtesy of ESPN BET.

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UNDER 6.5 wins (+110)

Solak: This feels like a good sell-high spot for a team coming off of a nationally-televised win. The Cardinals should be better with Jacoby Brissett under center than they were with Kyler Murray, but the upcoming stretch of games is brutal. By FPI's numbers, the Cardinals have had the fifth-easiest schedule to start the season but now must endure the third-toughest remaining schedule. While Brissett is a nice shot in the arm, he was a backup for a reason. I'm not sure how much longer that new QB boost will last.

OVER 7.5 wins (+105)

Solak: I smell desperation in Atlanta, as the Falcons have lost three straight after their emphatic win over the Bills that put them at 3-2. It might be prudent to wait a week and buy a better number after the upcoming game against the Colts, but Indianapolis is gettable, and the Falcons have the sort of speedy pass rush that the Steelers used to give Daniel Jones fits. I could see the Falcons totally imploding down the stretch, or I could see them rallying hard around Raheem Morris. I'll take the plus-money option here.

Lamar Jackson to win MVP (30-1)

Solak: The 3-5 Ravens are -170 to make the playoffs and favored at -140 to win their division. In what worlds could they possibly achieve those playoff dreams without Jackson thrusting himself into the center of the MVP race. Of course, Jackson returned to action in a Week 9 win and looked like Lamar Jackson (four TD passes), and nobody will hold his injury time away against him if he, say, wins the next six games in a row. The opponents: Vikings, Browns, Jets, Bengals, Steelers and Bengals again. Baltimore should be favored in all six.

UNDER 12.5 wins (-110)

Maldonado: Buffalo is sitting at 6-2, and the record looks clean, but the market is still pricing the Bills like a 13-win team. Buffalo won 13 games last season with a +24 turnover margin, the highest in the league since 2000. That kind of luck rarely repeats, and we are already seeing normalization. The Bills have four interceptions forced through eight games after finishing with 16 last season. That matters. Health-wise, the attrition has begun on defense with multiple front-seven pieces missing time, and the schedule stiffens. From Week 10-18, the Bills have five games with a rest disadvantage, including games against the Dolphins, Bengals, Patriots and Eagles, plus back-to-back road trips to Houston and Pittsburgh. I will take under 12.5.

Make the playoffs (+260)

Moody: The Panthers are emerging as one of the NFC's surprise contenders. Their upset of the Packers lifted them to 5-4, their best midseason mark since 2019. Behind Rico Dowdle's 735 rushing yards and a defense that just held Green Bay to 13 points, Dave Canales' team is finding its identity through toughness and balance. With Bryce Young back under center, a 3-1 home record, and a winnable matchup against the Saints ahead, Carolina suddenly looks capable of ending its seven-year playoff drought.

Make the playoffs (+200)

Moody: The Bears look like legitimate NFC playoff contenders following their dramatic Week 9 win over the Bengals, which moved them to 5-3 and put them just behind the Lions (tiebreaker edge) for the final NFC playoff spot. Chicago's offense has come alive under first-year head coach Ben Johnson. The Bears now face pivotal matchups against the Eagles, Packers, 49ers and Lions, all current playoff teams, and wins in those games would not only boost their record, but directly reshape the NFC playoff race in their favor.

OVER 6.5 wins (+120)

Solak: The Bengals became the first team since the 1960's to lose consecutive games in which they scored 38 or more points. Smells like a great buy-low opportunity to me. The Bengals should be able to play most games into a coinflip, given how explosive their passing game is when they trail. They appear to have a tougher upcoming schedule than they really do -- they face the Steelers, Patriots, Ravens, Bills and Ravens again over the next five games, but they end the year against the Dolphins, Browns and Cardinals. At plus money, I like their ability to find four wins with a team that's clearly still clinging to some sense of AFC contention.

Carson Schwesinger to win Defensive Rookie of the Year (25-1)

Solak: Schwesinger was +500 to win this award before the Week 8 game against the Patriots in which he snagged a pick (nice) and also left the game with an ankle injury (not as nice). But the outlook seems fairly rosy -- head coach Kevin Stefanski said he doesn't expect Schwesinger to go on injured reserve. The field for Defensive Rookie of the Year otherwise is extremely weak, so if Schwesinger only misses two games and keeps producing when he returns, his odds will shoot right back up.

Stephen A. Smith explains his sadness for the Cowboys after their loss to the Cardinals.

Dak Prescott to win Comeback Player of the Year (+115)

Karabell: Prescott is the slight favorite here in a crowded field with no clear leader. That field includes Christian McCaffrey, Aidan Hutchinson and Daniel Jones, but people will take notice if Prescott leads the league in passing yards and touchdowns, which is a possibility. The Cowboys might not make the playoffs, but few will be able to blame the QB.

Nik Bonitto to win Defensive Player of the Year (+850)

Bowen: I'd take a bet here on Bonitto. An electric mover off the line with the flexibility to sink and slither around offensive tackles, Bonitto ranks fourth in the league with eight sacks, and he has a top-10 pass-rush win rate. With a strong second half and more splash plays, Bonitto can claim the sack title -- on a postseason team. That gets you in the mix for DPOY.

Check out the latest odds and lines for Week 10 on ESPN BET.

Win the NFC North (+135)

Bowen: Detroit sits at 5-3, in second place in the division behind the 5-2-1 Packers. But I still see the Lions as the best team in the division. They are averaging 28.8 points per game (third most in the league). It's an explosive and balanced offense, while the defense features impact players at multiple levels. Rush the passer. Take the ball away. And I'm all-in on the aggressive coaching of Dan Campbell. This feels like a smart bet -- with plus money.

OVER 10.5 wins (-120)

Maldonado: Green Bay's offensive efficiency, defensive depth and quarterback stability support a projection of 11-6 or better. Jordan Love ranks top 10 in QBR and yards per attempt, while the Packers are top five in third-down success and sack differential. The defense's pressure pairing of Rashan Gary and Micah Parsons has elevated a unit allowing just 20.8 points per game, with positive yardage and possession splits reinforcing sustainability. The remaining schedule features five favorable matchups, and the Packers' balanced attack limits volatility. Even with mild regression in one-score games, Green Bay's profile projects above market expectation. True fair price is closer to -145, so -120 is snagging some value.

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OVER 7.5 wins (-110)

Maldonado: Houston is 3-5, so the record doesn't jump off the page, but the Texans profile as a team ready to surge. They opened with one of the toughest schedules in the AFC and still sit with a positive point differential (+47). The defense allows the fewest points per game (15.1), the fewest yards per game (267.4), and is fourth in interceptions and total takeaways through nine weeks. C.J. Stroud is still producing despite playing behind a line that has not been healthy. The schedule softens, and Houston still has four division games ahead. Needing a 5-4 finish, I like over 7.5.

Win the Super Bowl (11-1)

Karabell: Week 9 was a disappointment, but otherwise MVP candidate Jonathan Taylor, potential Comeback Player of the Year Daniel Jones and a solid defense remain top contenders in the AFC. They aren't the Chiefs or Bills, but they are pretty good, and the defense added excellent CB Sauce Gardner at the trade deadline. Why the Colts? Hey, this is all legit! Why not the Colts?

Make the playoffs (-140)

Karabell: It seems unlikely that the Jaguars, having been outscored through eight games, losing rookie Travis Hunter to injury and participating in the same division as the surprising Colts, are Super Bowl contenders, but this team finds ways to win, and it added WR Jakobi Meyers at the trade deadline. The schedule still features two games with the Titans and one with the Jets. This is a playoff team.

Patrick Mahomes to win MVP (+425)

Walder: Every MVP from 2016 to 2024 finished the season in the top four of QBR, and there's no player I'm more confident will finish there (without missing time) this year than Mahomes. He currently sits in fourth in the metric, while Josh Allen, the favorite for this award at +175, is all the way back in 11th. Allen might lead the Bills to the No. 1 seed in the AFC (they are the favorites, per FPI, albeit at just a 31% chance), but voters will see the efficiency drop-off that he has displayed this season. There are a number of candidates I think are good bets right now, with Allen overvalued, but none more so than Mahomes.

UNDER 4.5 win